Oxana Kirichok
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Can AI readiness and strong institutions curb AML risk? Cross-country evidence from panel data
Oxana Kirichok
,
Viktoriia Hurochkina
,
Gulnara Zhanseitova
,
Viktoria Dudchenko
,
Pavlo Rubanov
,
Denys Babaiev
,
Serhiy Lyeonov
doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/pmf.14(4).2025.05
Public and Municipal Finance Volume 14, 2025 Issue #4 pp. 56-76
Views: 26 Downloads: 4 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯType of the article: Research Article
Abstract
As emphasized by the FATF, IMF, and World Bank, technological readiness and institutional quality are increasingly decisive in shaping AML effectiveness. By mitigating money-laundering vulnerabilities, strengthening AI readiness, and enhancing institutional quality, tax collection efficiency can be improved and fiscal leakages reduced. These improvements expand the fiscal space available for national budgets, strengthening the financial foundations of public administration. The study aims to examine the impact of Government AI Readiness on AML risk, measured by the Basel AML Index, and the moderating role of institutional quality as captured by the Rule of Law Index. An unbalanced panel dataset that covers up to 168 countries for 2020–2024 was analyzed using fixed effects and random effects models, with variable transformations applied where necessary. All estimations were performed in R Studio. The results indicate that a one-point increase in the Government AI Readiness Index is associated with a 0.048–0.040 point reduction in the Basel AML Index, while a one-unit increase in log GDP per capita decreases the Basel AML Index by 0.54–0.34 points, holding other factors constant. The interaction term between AI readiness and the Rule of Law Index is positive (0.067–0.072), confirming that the risk-reducing effect of AI readiness diminishes as institutional quality strengthens. These findings support the hypotheses and confirm the complementary roles of technological preparedness and institutional integrity in shaping AML outcomes. Fixed effects analysis reveals structural vulnerabilities in AML in Gabon and China, while Sweden exhibits the lowest residual risk after accounting for AI readiness and institutional strength.Acknowledgment
This article was supported by the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine (project No. 0123U101945 – National security of Ukraine through prevention of financial fraud and money laundering: war and post-war challenges). -
Bridging digital innovation and energy justice: The role of artificial intelligence in advancing energy equity
Oxana Kirichok
,
Yuliia Orlovska ,
Gulnara Zhanseitova
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Alvina Oriekhova
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Denys Babaiev
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Oleksii Havrylenko
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Tetiana Vasylieva
doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/ee.16(4).2025.11
Environmental Economics Volume 16, 2025 Issue #4 pp. 166-181
Views: 23 Downloads: 3 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯType of the article: Research Article
Abstract
Global progress toward universal access to affordable, reliable, and clean energy has stalled, with over two billion people still lacking access to clean cooking, and affordability pressures are rising. AI is emerging as an energy-intensive technology and a potential enabler of more equitable energy systems. This paper assesses whether AI vibrancy contributes to advancing energy equity across countries while accounting for differences in economic capacity. The study employs a balanced panel of 36 countries from 2017 to 2023 (252 observations), drawing on the Global AI Vibrancy Tool, World Bank Open Data, and the World Energy Council’s Energy Trilemma Index. Box–Cox transformations were applied to address skewness, and panel econometric models (fixed and random effects) with robust standard errors were estimated. The FE model shows no significant within-country effect of AI vibrancy on energy equity (R² = 0.012). The RE model indicates a positive association: a one-unit increase in the AI vibrancy score results in an improvement of 0.00165 in the energy equity index (p < 0.01). At the same time, GDP per capita exerts a strong and highly significant effect (p < 0.001). The RE model explains 12.4% of the overall variation in energy equity. After correcting for heteroscedasticity and cross-sectional dependence, GDP per capita remains significant, whereas the effect of AI vibrancy weakens to marginal significance (p ≈ 0.09). Country-specific effects further reveal systematic over- and under-performance beyond what AI vibrancy and income predict, underscoring the critical role of governance and institutional quality in shaping energy equity outcomes.Acknowledgment
The article was prepared as a part of the MSCA4Ukraine project 06030419, European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme. Views and opinions expressed are, however, those of the authors only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union, the European Research Executive Agency, or the MSCA4Ukraine Consortium. Neither the European Union nor the European Research Executive Agency, nor the MSCA4Ukraine Consortium as a whole, nor any individual member institutions of the MSCA4Ukraine Consortium can be held responsible for them.
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