Effect of foreign capital inflow on private sector credits: Evidence from Nigeria

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Type of the article: Research Article

Abstract
The private sector remains the engine room for inclusive economic development, and its interaction with Foreign Capital Inflows (FCIs) is crucial for growth in emerging markets like Nigeria. This study examined the impact of FCIs (Foreign Direct Investment, Foreign Portfolio Investment, Foreign Debt, Foreign Aid & Foreign Remittances) on Private Sector Credit in Nigeria. To achieve this objective, time series data spanning a 26-year period (1998–2023) were harvested and used. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller test was used to ascertain the unit root, while the hierarchical regression technique provided the model estimates. From the results, foreign remittances emerged as the only significant contributor to private sector credit growth (β = 0.993, p < 0.05). This underscores the critical role of diaspora remittances in supporting financial intermediation and private sector development. The study concluded that foreign remittance is a major driver of private sector credit expansion in Nigeria. It is recommended that policy efforts should prioritize facilitating remittance inflows through a supportive regulatory framework. Emphasis should also be placed on leveraging remittances as a stable and development-oriented source of capital.

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    • Figure 1. Line plot for foreign direct investment
    • Figure 2. Line plot for foreign portfolio investment
    • Figure 3. Line plot for foreign debt
    • Figure 4. Line plot for foreign aid
    • Figure 5. Line plot for foreign remittances
    • Figure 6. Line plot for the private sector
    • Figure 7. Diagnostic plots for private sector credit
    • Table 1. Descriptive statistics of study variables
    • Table 2. ADF test results
    • Table 3. Result of hierarchical regression
    • Conceptualization
      Sunday Ikhu-Omoregbe, Taofeek Sola Afolabi
    • Data curation
      Sunday Ikhu-Omoregbe
    • Formal Analysis
      Sunday Ikhu-Omoregbe
    • Funding acquisition
      Sunday Ikhu-Omoregbe
    • Investigation
      Sunday Ikhu-Omoregbe
    • Methodology
      Sunday Ikhu-Omoregbe, Taofeek Sola Afolabi
    • Resources
      Sunday Ikhu-Omoregbe, Taofeek Sola Afolabi, Oyinlola Morounfoluwa Akinyede
    • Visualization
      Sunday Ikhu-Omoregbe
    • Writing – original draft
      Sunday Ikhu-Omoregbe, Taofeek Sola Afolabi, Oyinlola Morounfoluwa Akinyede
    • Project administration
      Taofeek Sola Afolabi, Oyinlola Morounfoluwa Akinyede
    • Software
      Taofeek Sola Afolabi, Oyinlola Morounfoluwa Akinyede
    • Supervision
      Taofeek Sola Afolabi, Oyinlola Morounfoluwa Akinyede
    • Validation
      Taofeek Sola Afolabi, Oyinlola Morounfoluwa Akinyede
    • Writing – review & editing
      Taofeek Sola Afolabi, Oyinlola Morounfoluwa Akinyede