The moderating role of investor sentiment on profitability and investment premiums: Evidence from the Indonesian stock market
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Received October 5, 2024;Accepted March 31, 2025;Published April 18, 2025
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Author(s)Zaida Rizqi ZainulLink to ORCID Index: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0838-833X
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Khaira Amalia FachrudinLink to ORCID Index: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9532-1664
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SyahyunanLink to ORCID Index: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-6222-9190
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Nisrul IrawatiLink to ORCID Index: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4537-0737
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DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.22(2).2025.09
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Article InfoVolume 22 2025, Issue #2, pp. 100-111
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760 Downloads
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Common market anomalies tested in developed markets have been considered adequate to explain behavior there. However, the different characteristics in emerging markets such as Indonesia make traditional asset pricing models inadequate. Furthermore, this study highlights the importance of integrating company fundamentals and investor sentiment. This study enriches the asset pricing method in Indonesia and supports the theory of market signals and anomalies. This study analyzes the moderating role of investor sentiment on the relationship between profitability premium, investment premium, and stock returns in one of the emerging markets, Indonesia. The study uses panel data from 93 companies in Indonesia from 2013 to 2023. Portfolio construction with the five-factor model is used. The analysis method used is moderated regression analysis or interaction testing. The study results show that profitability premium and excess return interact significantly with investor sentiment at the 1% level, so investment premium and excess return interact significantly with investor sentiment at the 1% level. This study shows that investor sentiment plays a role in strengthening the premiums for profitability and investment. The findings of this study indicate that considering a company’s financial condition and sentiment level is essential for investors and investment managers in implementing long-term stock investment analysis strategies in emerging markets such as Indonesia. This study can support market stability policies, such as tighter supervision, when negative sentiment has the potential to cause a decline in stock prices that is disproportionate to fundamentals.
Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank the Indonesian Capital Market for providing data supporting this study’s results. Thanks also to the promoter, co-promoter, and reviewer for their suggestions and input, which were very helpful in preparing this article. In addition, the family has provided prayers and patience in supporting the author in carrying out this research. This research was supported by funding from Universitas Syiah Kuala.
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JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)G41, G12, G11, G14
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References48
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Tables5
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Figures0
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- Table 1. Descriptive statistics
- Table 2. Correlation matrix
- Table 3. Test results for the appropriate estimating models
- Table 4. Regression analysis (N = 1,023)
- Table 5. Hypothesis testing results
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Conceptualization
Zaida Rizqi Zainul
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Formal Analysis
Zaida Rizqi Zainul, Khaira Amalia Fachrudin, Nisrul Irawati
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Funding acquisition
Zaida Rizqi Zainul, Khaira Amalia Fachrudin
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Project administration
Zaida Rizqi Zainul
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Resources
Zaida Rizqi Zainul
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Software
Zaida Rizqi Zainul, Khaira Amalia Fachrudin
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Writing – original draft
Zaida Rizqi Zainul
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Writing – review & editing
Zaida Rizqi Zainul, Khaira Amalia Fachrudin, Syahyunan, Nisrul Irawati
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Data curation
Khaira Amalia Fachrudin, Syahyunan
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Investigation
Khaira Amalia Fachrudin, Syahyunan, Nisrul Irawati
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Methodology
Khaira Amalia Fachrudin, Syahyunan, Nisrul Irawati
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Supervision
Khaira Amalia Fachrudin, Syahyunan, Nisrul Irawati
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Validation
Khaira Amalia Fachrudin, Syahyunan, Nisrul Irawati
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Visualization
Khaira Amalia Fachrudin, Nisrul Irawati
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Conceptualization
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ESG disclosure and financial performance: Empirical study of Vietnamese commercial banks
Banks and Bank Systems Volume 19, 2024 Issue #1 pp. 208-220 Views: 6913 Downloads: 2135 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯEnvironmental, social, and governance (ESG) disclosure becomes vital for banks to be transparent and accountable for their investments and lending decisions to shareholders, regulators, and society. The potential enhancement of shareholder value through ESG disclosure is still inconsistent. Empirical studies on the association between ESG disclosure and financial performance are mixed and limited in emerging economies. This study aims to examine whether ESG disclosure impacts the financial performance of 24 Vietnamese commercial banks in terms of return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), and net interest margin (NIM). The study uses the feasible generalized least squares estimation method based on panel data from 2018 to 2022. The study employs content analysis on 12 themes related to environmental, social, and governance pillars to score policy disclosure based on the Fair Finance Guide Methodology. The results highlight the positive effects of ESG policy disclosure, individual environment disclosure (E), and individual governance disclosure (G) on bank financial performance. Notably, ESG, E, and G have the largest influence on ROE, with coefficients of 0.051, 0.036, and 0.027, respectively, at a 5% significance level. However, the study does not provide evidence of a statistically significant association between social disclosure and financial performance. These results provide empirical evidence for regulators and bank managers to shape ESG policies and practices aligning with international standards.
Acknowledgment
ESG disclosure score of 11 banks as primary data in this study is conducted under the project coordinated by the Fair Finance Vietnam coalition, as part of Fair Finance International. -
The moderating role of firm size and interest rate in capital structure of the firms: selected sample from sugar sector of Pakistan
Sarfraz Hussain
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Abdul Quddus
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Pham Phat Tien
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Muhammad Rafiq
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Drahomíra Pavelková
doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.17(4).2020.29
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Volume 17, 2020 Issue #4 pp. 341-355 Views: 5179 Downloads: 787 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯThe selection of financing is a top priority for businesses, particularly in short- and long-term investment decisions. Mixing debt and equity leads to decisions on the financial structure for businesses. This research analyzes the moderate position of company size and the interest rate in the capital structure over six years (2013–2018) for 29 listed Pakistani enterprises operating in the sugar market. This research employed static panel analysis and dynamic panel analysis on linear and nonlinear regression methods. The capital structure included debt to capital ratio, non-current liabilities, plus current liabilities to capital as a dependent variable. Independent variables were profitability, firm size, tangibility, Non-Debt Tax Shield, liquidity, and macroeconomic variables were exchange rates and interest rates. The investigation reported that profitability, firm size, and Non-Debt Tax Shield were significant and negative, while tangibility and interest rates significantly and positively affected debt to capital ratio. This means the sugar sector has greater financial leverage to manage the funding obligations for the better performance of firms. Therefore, the outcomes revealed that the moderators have an important influence on capital structure.
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Empirical evidence of market reactions based on signaling theory in Indonesia stock exchange
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Volume 16, 2019 Issue #2 pp. 66-77 Views: 4966 Downloads: 2355 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯSignaling theory assumes that it is necessary to signal investors to how they perceive company’s prospects. One of them is dividend announcements. The announcement of dividends is predicted to be a signal for investors in the investment decision making process. This study aims to determine and analyze the effect of dividend announcements, both increases and decreases in dividends, on stock returns. This study is intended to find empirical evidence about market reactions based on signaling theory in Indonesia Stock Exchange on the period 2017. The analysis of this study uses the event study method and hypothesis testing carried out using different test paired sample t-test. The results of this study prove that the market reacts to the announcement of dividends. The market reaction is indicated by the value of abnormal returns, namely abnormal returns in the positive direction when the announcement of dividend increased and abnormal returns in the negative direction when the announcement of dividend decreased. The value of abnormal returns in a positive direction reflects the company’s performance in good condition, and vice versa. This result indicates that dividend announcements are a signal and contain information relevant to investors in the investment decision making process.

