The role of human capital and financial development in boosting FDI in emerging economies

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This study investigates the direct and moderating effects of financial development (FD) and human capital development (HCD) on foreign direct investment (FDI) and identifies the human capital development threshold that triggers a significant impact on FDI in sixteen emerging economies from 2010 to 2023. Panel threshold and panel-corrected standard error regression methods are employed to explore these factors’ direct and conditional effects on FDI. The findings indicate that, initially, FD and HCD negatively affect FDI. This can be attributed to short-term costs associated with structural adjustments and economic instability periods for the selected emerging economies. However, when these variables were interacted, their impact on FDI became positive with a total effect of 1.404, revealing the complementary effect of FD and HCD on FDI. Furthermore, a critical threshold was identified for HCD (0.7919), beyond which its impact on FDI becomes positive, facilitating long-term economic gains. Similarly, FD shifts from a negative to a positive effect as financial systems achieve greater stability and efficiency. The study emphasizes the importance of strategic investment in human capital and efforts to enhance financial sector stability to attract and sustain FDI in emerging markets. It reveals that this approach increases FDI inflows and ensures sustainable economic development over time. The study offers critical insights for policymakers to prioritize structural reforms in education, workforce skills, and financial governance to create an enabling environment for FDI. Furthermore, it highlights the relevance of understanding threshold dynamics to design targeted policies that maximize economic returns from foreign investment in emerging economies.

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    • Table 1. Description and measurement of variables
    • Table 2. Descriptive statistics
    • Table 3. Pairwise correlations
    • Table 4. Panel corrected standard error diagnostic tests
    • Table 5. Impact of the complementarity between human capital and financial development on foreign direct investment in emerging markets
    • Table 6. Threshold diagnostic test
    • Table 7. Hansen splitting threshold results for human capital development level to enable significant FDI in emerging markets
    • Conceptualization
      Kunofiwa Tsaurai, David Aboagye Danquah
    • Data curation
      Kunofiwa Tsaurai, David Aboagye Danquah
    • Formal Analysis
      Kunofiwa Tsaurai, David Aboagye Danquah
    • Investigation
      Kunofiwa Tsaurai, David Aboagye Danquah
    • Methodology
      Kunofiwa Tsaurai, David Aboagye Danquah
    • Project administration
      Kunofiwa Tsaurai, David Aboagye Danquah
    • Resources
      Kunofiwa Tsaurai, David Aboagye Danquah
    • Software
      Kunofiwa Tsaurai, David Aboagye Danquah
    • Validation
      Kunofiwa Tsaurai, David Aboagye Danquah
    • Writing – original draft
      Kunofiwa Tsaurai, David Aboagye Danquah
    • Writing – review & editing
      Kunofiwa Tsaurai, David Aboagye Danquah