Green ports or green paradox? Empirical evidence from Norwegian port municipalities

  • 9 Views
  • 1 Downloads

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

Type of the article: Research Article

Abstract
This study investigates whether public investment in green maritime infrastructure and transportation projects contributes to CO₂ emission reductions in Norwegian port municipalities. Using panel data for 28 coastal municipalities from 2016 to 2023, the analysis assesses the temporal effects of maritime-supported projects, technology development (TransMar) and infrastructure (InfraMar), on local maritime emissions. A two-stage empirical strategy combines lagged panel regressions (OLS, FE, and RE) with unsupervised clustering to uncover structural heterogeneity in port activity and investment profiles. The results reveal that transport-related investments exhibit statistically significant emission-reducing effects with lags of three to five years, supporting the long-term decarbonization potential of targeted funding. In contrast, green infrastructure presence correlates positively with emissions, likely reflecting higher port activity and policy targeting in high-emission areas. Clustering analysis confirms that municipalities differ substantially in activity levels, investment patterns, and emission profiles, reinforcing the case for differentiated policy strategies. The findings contribute to environmental economics and maritime policy by offering new micro-level evidence on the effectiveness and temporal dynamics of green investments. This paper extends previous literature by integrating spatial clustering with dynamic investment modeling, providing novel insights into how policy timing and local industrial structure shape emission outcomes. The results have direct implications for designing adaptive, region-specific maritime decarbonization programs and guiding future EU-aligned infrastructure strategies.

view full abstract hide full abstract
    • Figure 1. Domestic greenhouse gas emissions of CO2 equivalents from Norwegian activity
    • Figure 2. Domestic transport work including cabotage1 transport
    • Figure 3. Estimated CO₂ emissions from Norwegian domestic shipping, by segment, 2021–2024
    • Figure 4. Total number of ships in the sailing fleet
    • Figure 5. Number of ships with green technologies in the sailing fleet
    • Figure 6. Order book of low and zero-emissions ships
    • Figure 7. Shore power and charging capacity and production capacity for alternative fuels
    • Figure 8. Availability of green maritime infrastructure and port coverage in Norway
    • Figure 9. Categorization of government instruments targeting climate-friendly energy technology by Technology maturity level (TRL) and Commercial readiness index (CRI)
    • Figure 10. Dendrogram for HR cluster analysis
    • Figure B1. Norwegian port activity, 2023
    • Figure B2. Green infrastructure availability
    • Figure B3. Green maritime infrastructure funding, 2016–2023
    • Figure B4. Green maritime transport funding, 2016–2023
    • Table 1. Accumulated investment needs in Norwegian domestic shipping, MNOK (2022–2030)
    • Table 2. The measurement and data source of explanatory variables
    • Table 3. Descriptive statistics
    • Table 4. Correlation insights
    • Table 5. Three distinct municipal typologies
    • Table A1. Regression results (Main specification and extended controls)
    • Table A2. The regression results of POLS, RE, FE model
    • Table B1. Variation in maritime CO₂ emissions, green investments, and port activity across port municipalities. 2016–2023
    • Conceptualization
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Data curation
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Formal Analysis
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Funding acquisition
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Investigation
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Methodology
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Project administration
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Resources
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Software
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Supervision
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Validation
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Visualization
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Writing – original draft
      Viktoriia Koilo
    • Writing – review & editing
      Viktoriia Koilo