Institutional quality and economic growth in resource-rich countries: The case of Azerbaijan

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Studying the institution’s development process and its influence on economic results in countries rich in natural resources and whose export is mainly connected with the sale of natural resources can give new ideas for institutional theory. The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of institutional quality on non-commodity economic growth in Azerbaijan. The study was conducted using the ARDL Bound Test based on data covering the years 1996–2022. The model included growth rates of non-oil GDP and indices of government effectiveness and regulatory quality. The results show that in Azerbaijan, regulatory quality has a positive influence on the growth of non-oil GDP in the long and short-run perspectives. Thus, a 1% increase in regulatory quality leads to a 19.8% increase in the growth rate of non-oil GDP. However, there was no statistically significant relationship between government effectiveness and non-oil GDP. These results confirm the idea of strengthening the work to improve the quality of regulation. It is also necessary to increase the indicator of government effectiveness, the quality of legal institutions, public services, and civil services. The insignificance of institutional quality influence on non-resource tradeable sectors determines the relevance of research on institutions’ impact on increasing the economic complexity of rich-resource countries.

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    • Figure 1. Non-oil GDP growth, government effectiveness, and regulatory quality indexes in Azerbaijan
    • Figure 2. Optimal lag selection
    • Figure 3. CUSUM and CUSUM of Square stability tests
    • Table 1. Variable definitions
    • Table 2. Results of the ADF test
    • Table 3. F-bounds test results
    • Table 4. Long-run form and bounds test
    • Table 5. Short-run results
    • Table 6. Robustness tests
    • Data curation
      İlgar Seyfullayev
    • Formal Analysis
      İlgar Seyfullayev
    • Funding acquisition
      İlgar Seyfullayev
    • Investigation
      İlgar Seyfullayev
    • Methodology
      İlgar Seyfullayev
    • Resources
      İlgar Seyfullayev
    • Software
      İlgar Seyfullayev
    • Supervision
      İlgar Seyfullayev
    • Validation
      İlgar Seyfullayev
    • Writing – original draft
      İlgar Seyfullayev
    • Conceptualization
      Demet Cak
    • Project administration
      Demet Cak
    • Visualization
      Demet Cak
    • Writing – review & editing
      Demet Cak