Sustainable industrial development of Western Kazakhstan’s regions

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The Lima Declaration established the basis for inclusive and sustainable industrial development, emphasizing industry as a driver of progress. This study aims to analyze the sustainable industrial development of the regions of Western Kazakhstan. Using a comparative approach and Sustainable Development Goal framework, an economic-static analysis was performed on data from the Bureau of National Statistics and the National Bank of the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2010, 2015, and 2019–2022 to evaluate the state and trends of structural shifts in the sectors forming the gross regional product, as well as the development dynamics of the manufacturing industry. The study revealed that the technological structure of industry in Western Kazakhstan is dominated by the IV technological paradigm (76–82%). The manufacturing industry accounts for 11.79% of gross domestic product and is characterized by a low share of gross value added of medium- and high-tech industries in the gross regional product (0.24–1.45%). Despite the steady growth of manufacturing development indicators, only the Aktobe region demonstrates high potential for sustainable industrial development, while the West Kazakhstan and Mangystau regions have medium potential, and the Atyrau region has low potential. In these regions, sectors such as mechanical engineering, pharmaceutical and chemical production, electrical equipment, computers, and electronic and optical products have significant development potential. An important direction in sustainable industrial development in these regions could be establishing strict environmental standards, the digital transformation of mining enterprises, the transition to low-carbon sources, increasing intellectual potential, and human capital development.

Acknowledgments
This study is supported by the Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan (BR21882122 “Sustainable development of natural-economic and socio-economic systems of the West Kazakhstan region in the context of green growth: comprehensive analysis, concept, forecast estimates and scenarios”).

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    • Figure 1. Technological paradigms in the structure of industrial production in the regions of West Kazakhstan, mln. tenge, %, 2022
    • Figure 2. Medium- and high-technology industries: GVA and share in GRP (Western Kazakhstan’s regions, 2010–2022)
    • Table 1. Indicators used in the study
    • Table 2. Dynamics of SDG 9.2 indicators in the regions of West Kazakhstan, 2010–2022
    • Table A1. Technological paradigms in the structure of industrial production in the regions of Western Kazakhstan, mln. tenge, %, 2022
    • Table B1. Manufacturing industry development indicators in Western Kazakhstan’s regions, 2010–2022
    • Table C1. GVA in the manufacturing industries of the regions of Western Kazakhstan, mln. tenge, 2013–2022: Aktobe and Atyrau regions
    • Table C2. GVA in the manufacturing industries of the regions of Western Kazakhstan, mln. tenge, 2013–2022: Western Kazakhstan and Mangystau regions
    • Conceptualization
      Zaira Satpayeva, Dana Kangalakova, Farida Alzhanova, Aigerim Sekerbayeva
    • Data curation
      Zaira Satpayeva, Aigerim Sekerbayeva
    • Formal Analysis
      Zaira Satpayeva, Dana Kangalakova, Farida Alzhanova, Aigerim Sekerbayeva
    • Investigation
      Zaira Satpayeva, Dana Kangalakova, Aigerim Sekerbayeva
    • Methodology
      Zaira Satpayeva
    • Project administration
      Zaira Satpayeva, Farida Alzhanova
    • Resources
      Zaira Satpayeva, Farida Alzhanova, Aigerim Sekerbayeva
    • Software
      Zaira Satpayeva, Dana Kangalakova
    • Supervision
      Zaira Satpayeva, Farida Alzhanova
    • Validation
      Zaira Satpayeva, Aigerim Sekerbayeva
    • Visualization
      Zaira Satpayeva, Dana Kangalakova
    • Writing – original draft
      Zaira Satpayeva, Dana Kangalakova, Farida Alzhanova, Aigerim Sekerbayeva
    • Writing – review & editing
      Zaira Satpayeva, Dana Kangalakova, Farida Alzhanova, Aigerim Sekerbayeva
    • Funding acquisition
      Farida Alzhanova